Alain Pineda

Alain Pineda

Research Economist

Banco de México

alain.pineda@banxico.org.mx

I am a Research Economist at Banco de México’s Research Division. I am interested in studying labor markets in developing countries, focusing on the dynamics of informal employment and expanding access to social insurance.

I completed my PhD in Economics at Stanford University as a Knight-Hennessy Scholar. I received my MA and BA in Economics from Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México (ITAM).

Interests

  • Informal Employment
  • Social Insurance Expansion
  • Labor Market Trajectories
  • Equality of Opportunity

Education

  • PhD in Economics, 2024

    Stanford University

  • MA in Economics, 2022

    Stanford University

  • MA in Economics, 2018

    ITAM

  • BA in Economics, 2017

    ITAM

Research Projects

Social Insurance Without a Job

Social Insurance Without a Job

In 2016 Mexico assigned more than six million public high school and college students a permanent social security number and registered each of them individually for national social insurance (IMSS) medical coverage, a benefit tied to school enrollment rather than to a formal job. A long-standing objection to such policies is that benefits delinked from formal contracts reduce the relative value of a formal job and subsidize informality at the margin. I study the high-school component, comparing birth cohorts still in school at rollout with slightly older cohorts and letting the contrast vary with each state’s pre-policy informality rate; the design recovers how the response scales with initial informality rather than a national average. Where informality was initially higher, precisely where the subsidy concern is sharpest, exposed cohorts pulled further ahead of adjacent unexposed cohorts in formal employment, and informal employment fell rather than rose. The response is concentrated entirely in wage employment and absent in self-employment. Delinking did not tilt young workers toward informality. The entitlement predated the reform, and schools had long listed their students; what 2016 changed was that coverage was attached to each student as a person, with the social security number that formal hiring requires, and made salient. Delivered that way, a benefit outside a formal contract worked as an on-ramp to formal employment rather than as a substitute for it.

Experience

 
 
 
 
 

Lecturer

ITAM

Jan 2025 – Present Mexico City
Storytelling in Economics, Master in Applied Economics
 
 
 
 
 

Research Economist

Banco de México

Aug 2024 – Present Mexico City
Economic research for the Real Sector Research Division
 
 
 
 
 

Summer Intern - Consultant

Inter-American Development Bank

Jun 2022 – Aug 2022 Washington, D.C. (remote)
Research assistant for microdata analysis on gender at the Gender and Diversity Divison
 
 
 
 
 

Lecturer

ITAM

Jan 2022 – May 2022 Mexico City (remote)
Research seminar for students in the Master in Applied Economics program
 
 
 
 
 

Economist

Banco de México

Sep 2015 – Jul 2018 Mexico City
Analysis of the real economy, with a focus on labor markets

Contact

  • 5 de Mayo 18, Mexico City, CDMX