I am a Research Economist at Banco de México’s Research Division. I am interested in studying labor markets in developing countries, focusing on the dynamics of informal employment and expanding access to social insurance.
I completed my PhD in Economics at Stanford University as a Knight-Hennessy Scholar. I received my MA and BA in Economics from Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México (ITAM).
PhD in Economics, 2024
Stanford University
MA in Economics, 2022
Stanford University
MA in Economics, 2018
ITAM
BA in Economics, 2017
ITAM

In 2016 Mexico assigned more than six million public high school and college students a permanent social security number and registered each of them individually for national social insurance (IMSS) medical coverage, a benefit tied to school enrollment rather than to a formal job. A long-standing objection to such policies is that benefits delinked from formal contracts reduce the relative value of a formal job and subsidize informality at the margin. I study the high-school component, comparing birth cohorts still in school at rollout with slightly older cohorts and letting the contrast vary with each state’s pre-policy informality rate; the design recovers how the response scales with initial informality rather than a national average. Where informality was initially higher, precisely where the subsidy concern is sharpest, exposed cohorts pulled further ahead of adjacent unexposed cohorts in formal employment, and informal employment fell rather than rose. The response is concentrated entirely in wage employment and absent in self-employment. Delinking did not tilt young workers toward informality. The entitlement predated the reform, and schools had long listed their students; what 2016 changed was that coverage was attached to each student as a person, with the social security number that formal hiring requires, and made salient. Delivered that way, a benefit outside a formal contract worked as an on-ramp to formal employment rather than as a substitute for it.

Domestic workers provide essential services for the functioning of private households and their members. Yet, domestic workers rarely have access to rights and protection, presenting a very high rate of informality. In Mexico, there are around 2 million domestic workers, with significant occupational segregation by gender, as more than 90% are women. I study a change in the Mexican federal labor law in 2019, expanding the access to social insurance benefits for domestic workers. The new legislation was accompanied by a pilot program of voluntary enrollment, with the objective of transitioning towards a mandatory regime. I analyze the impact of these recent developments on the observed labor outcomes of domestic workers in the quarterly labor force survey.

The United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) substituted the North America Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) in 2020, updating trade rules for one of the world’s largest free trade zones. Some key changes include stricter rules of origin and higher wage requirements in the automotive industry, as well as a requirement for broader worker representation in collective bargaining in Mexico. This project studies what is the impact of the new provisions on employment and wages in Mexico, using administrative employer-employee matched data.